Competent-Lava
0x472325bdffe239d0c6f85af6a731c1d259f3add4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 1?
727 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
42 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?
23 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-8.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
12 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?$8.66Mar 1, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$13.67Mar 1, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$10.30Mar 1, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1?$15.29Mar 1, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1?$13.78Mar 1, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?$10.00Mar 1, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 1?$5.00Mar 1, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$28.79Mar 1, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$4.66Feb 28, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$5.00Feb 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$5.00Feb 28, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$28.70Feb 27, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?$5.00Feb 27, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.00Feb 27, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?$2.42Feb 27, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $8.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.