Fortunate-Sesame
0x4726c6ffc9bc2c581ba0ad55325ef008bfc28acb
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.47
Total PnL
$-29.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 11?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on October 31?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on October 31?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 12?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 11?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-04?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 11?$1.00Oct 9, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.00Oct 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?$0.60Oct 8, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMore EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?$0.69Oct 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$0.52Oct 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$1.87Oct 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$3.00Oct 8, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 8, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$4.10Oct 8, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 12?$1.00Oct 8, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 11?$1.00Oct 8, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 10?$1.00Oct 8, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$4.00Oct 8, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 8, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on October 31?$5.00Oct 8, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?$1.37Oct 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$2.00Oct 6, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$5.00Oct 6, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?$4.00Oct 5, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC win on 2025-10-05?$4.00Oct 5, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".