Different-Trace
0x472aebfc4af62c44b80615be53746e3d12c0b6b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-14.18
Realised
$3.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$10.00
$7.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 20?
320 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 21?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
20 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 21?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 26?
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
20 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 3?
20 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$0.95Jan 1, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$3.60Dec 30, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$3.60Dec 29, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.60Dec 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$0.98Dec 27, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$0.92Dec 26, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$2.10Dec 26, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.41Dec 11, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 3?$0.98Dec 2, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 3?$0.12Dec 2, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1?$1.00Dec 1, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1?$0.70Dec 1, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 26?$0.80Nov 24, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$4.66Nov 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$1.64Nov 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 23?$0.70Nov 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 23?$1.00Nov 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$1.80Nov 22, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$2.00Nov 22, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$2.00Nov 22, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".