Variable-Festival
0x472ed830a5bc6ca98395ca745b110a5a3c9a85eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$912.49
Total PnL
$2.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 20?
300 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$299.55
$-0.15
- NO
Will Solana reach $150 in May?
250 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$248.75
$-0.50
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
205 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$203.54
$3.54
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in May?
100 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$98.70
$-0.20
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 22?
63 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$61.95
$-0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 20?$299.72May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 17?$100.00May 18, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be less than $50 on May 17?$198.00May 18, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 22?$62.65May 17, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.00May 16, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 17?$99.81May 15, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $50 on May 17?$197.63May 13, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 12?$350.35May 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 12?$350.02May 10, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on May 8?$359.48May 10, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on May 8?$359.03May 5, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in May?$98.98May 5, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$98.74May 4, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 3?$236.93May 4, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in May?$249.30May 2, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$103.41May 2, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 3?$236.71May 1, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$200.36May 1, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?$200.37May 1, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$300.50May 1, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $315.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".