Defiant-Ore
0x47344e5694a596b478d8b8e050116f52a6519178
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-345.59
Realised
$-24.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 10?
2039 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 8?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 10?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 9?
123 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 8?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 10?
74 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
65 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$7.52May 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.66May 25, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.86May 25, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$8.61Mar 26, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$2.50Mar 26, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?$6.11Mar 26, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 23, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$21.12Mar 22, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLReal Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score$9.63Mar 22, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLVinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer$12.49Mar 22, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score$6.17Mar 22, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer$5.00Mar 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5$17.00Mar 22, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMFerran Torres: Anytime Goalscorer$28.17Mar 22, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5$9.07Mar 22, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFerran Torres: Anytime Goalscorer$20.00Mar 22, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$20.00Mar 22, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$49.07Mar 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$33.46Mar 18, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $17.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.