Tired-Prisoner
0x4734cf8abfa7ad6cf3cd6b6e12130946b4a60979
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-313.47
Realised
$-19.14
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?
661 shares @ 56.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$531.73
$160.42
- NO
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the June meeting?
129 shares @ 88.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$125.87
$12.25
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
988 shares @ 16.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$113.62
$-53.18
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 78.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.44
$-0.35
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
352 shares @ 22.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$56.27
$-22.62
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1152 shares @ 6.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$39.73
$-30.36
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.00
$5.40
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.50
$-0.50
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
44 shares @ 50.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$17.38
$-4.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$128.44Jun 14, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.75Jun 14, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?$39.61Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.23Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?$61.63Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.42Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.33Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.80Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$22.55Jun 11, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$15.70Jun 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$55.15Jun 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.63Jun 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.74Jun 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?$77.60Jun 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?$306.46Jun 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$22.34Jun 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.10Jun 11, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $40.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 21:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.