Smug-Cuisine
0x473892d3b6a0aacd2d5d3f54276e8cab0a6d3cff
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.07
Total PnL
$-238.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?
3 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$3.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?
171 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
153 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
91 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
66 shares @ 75.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?$3.00Nov 18, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$2.90Nov 18, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$9.00Nov 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$10.00Nov 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$10.00Nov 15, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$10.00Nov 15, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$50.00Nov 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$50.00Nov 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$10.00Nov 15, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?$10.00Nov 15, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$30.00Nov 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?$20.00Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$20.00Nov 15, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$20.00Nov 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?$10.00Nov 15, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?$9.00Nov 15, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $17.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".