0x47392ef8a003a73bdfc0c75f83fcd7a9209dbbfd
0x47392ef8a003a73bdfc0c75f83fcd7a9209dbbfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$17.43
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$17.43
$2.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
92 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
86 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
85 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
81 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
75 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
74 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$4.99Jul 20, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.00Jul 20, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.26Jul 20, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Jul 20, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.88Jul 20, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.49Jul 20, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.05Jul 20, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.00Jul 20, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.81Jul 20, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.00Jul 20, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.55Jul 20, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.61Jul 20, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.03Jul 20, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.74Jul 20, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.00Jul 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.04Jul 20, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.61Jul 20, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.68Jul 20, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$4.93Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.00Jul 20, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.