Wasteful-Finance
0x473df842f42df22fb396e59c688b09f5dd037a2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$16.96
Total PnL
$-44.53
Realised
$2.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
26 shares @ 37.8¢·now 31.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.31
$-1.69
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.70
$0.70
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 89.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
240 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 12PM ET
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.25May 8, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.69May 8, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 5, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 5, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02May 5, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.01May 5, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 5, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.00May 5, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?$1.22May 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCEHL: Dynamo Pardubice vs. Plzen$1.50Jan 25, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: KRÜ Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs$1.59Jan 25, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMTexas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Houston Christian Huskies$2.54Jan 25, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?$1.00Jan 24, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?$1.50Jan 24, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Houston Christian Huskies$1.50Jan 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: KRÜ Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs$1.00Jan 24, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Winthrop University vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage$1.00Jan 20, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Perú Rejects vs Heroic (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham: South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.00Jan 20, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: M80 vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage$1.00Jan 20, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)$2.86Jan 20, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".