Grown-Motive
0x4745f85473bc5054833540ec7dda4aae6c1d66d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.87
Total PnL
$-65.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- NORTH CAROLINA
TCU vs. North Carolina
103 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
99 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- BEARS
Vikings vs. Bears
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- RAVENS
Ravens vs. Bills
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- VIRGINIA TECH
Virginia Tech vs. South Carolina
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVikings vs. Bears$5.00Sep 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRavens vs. Bills$5.00Sep 7, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTCU vs. North Carolina$40.00Sep 1, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMNotre Dame vs. Miami$11.11Sep 1, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMCalifornia vs. Oregon State$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMAuburn vs. Baylor$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgia Tech vs. Colorado$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-08-29?$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMHawai'i vs. Arizona$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMUTSA vs. Texas A&M$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Big Beautiful Bill" 3+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMRed Sox vs. Orioles$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMDiamondbacks vs. Brewers$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill KuPS win on 2025-08-28?$0.00Aug 31, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?$1.00Aug 31, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYVirginia Tech vs. South Carolina$1.00Aug 31, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNotre Dame vs. Miami$5.00Aug 31, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMUtah vs. UCLA$1.49Aug 31, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMMLS: Will Minnesota United beat Portland?$2.13Aug 31, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 28, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 8, 19:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".