Flickering-Original
0x474e3439d1a3d9ee86d9dd651bb1c60550662aed
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$14.14
Total PnL
$-1.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.06
$0.06
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will The Studio win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?$2.00Feb 28, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Studio win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.00Feb 28, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.01Feb 28, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.04Feb 28, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2.07Feb 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 20, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$11.00Jan 20, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.22Jan 20, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$1.51Jan 20, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$14.54Jan 20, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$1.48Dec 17, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.48Dec 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.38Nov 25, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$1.03Nov 25, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$1.00Oct 19, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$1.34Oct 19, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$1.26Sep 24, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMRussia announces air truce by August 31?$1.20Sep 24, 05:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.