Weary-Rayon
0x475141ceebf2de294b62f73b3f8dc8f73d88e334
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-783.46
Realised
$114.23
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
3477 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-91.78
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 20?
2614 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-57.72
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
2450 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
1891 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-69.97
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
1604 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
1507 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
1500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
1500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 November 24-30?
1250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$9.47May 1, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.00May 1, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$6.00Apr 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$10.65Apr 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$7.19Apr 22, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?$1.63Apr 12, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?$6.68Apr 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$12.00Apr 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?$16.80Apr 10, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.19Apr 9, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.09Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.26Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.10Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.10Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.37Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.18Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.04Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.70Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.10Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.02Apr 9, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 23:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".