Likely-Manufacturing
0x4752e207eb7eaa9aa8c8f6792b69f39abedaa700
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.61
Total PnL
$-46.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
6 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$5.61
$3.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
155 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
83 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
35 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
6 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$7.00Apr 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.00Apr 15, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.89Mar 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.11Mar 30, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.00Mar 30, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00Mar 30, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.00Mar 30, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$2.09Mar 30, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.00Mar 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.