Unnatural-Leave
0x47536cd44104494e80430d8735f3596a03fcfd5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$19.55
Total PnL
$-821.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
832 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.55
$0.42
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
37511 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-325.15
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
656 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-167.73
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
493 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-88.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
302 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-197.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
119 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.90
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
62 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
27 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$101.00Jun 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$42.14Jun 10, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$19.70Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$149.54Mar 25, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$155.49Mar 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$100.00Mar 25, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$100.00Mar 25, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$365.49Mar 25, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.00Mar 25, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$296.96Mar 25, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$243.01Mar 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$100.00Mar 25, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$50.00Mar 25, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$10.00Mar 25, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$294.96Mar 24, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$291.13Mar 24, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $140.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 23:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.