Creative-Underwriting
0x475bc2c54fb7497b6aed4e2878e76a8c2fccd4df
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$208.33
Total PnL
$-9.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$208.33
$108.33
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
18 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 8, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 8, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$12.57Nov 5, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$11.35Nov 4, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?$10.92Nov 4, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?$5.00Oct 29, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$3.00Oct 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$10.00Oct 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?$10.00Oct 28, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $34.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.