Secret-Leaf
0x4762717950bca144a674f4c55da197485fe8c727
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$103.05
Total PnL
$-14.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
103 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.05
$0.05
- YES
Trump out as President by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
644 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?
419 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 15?
318 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
258 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 7, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 7, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 7, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$1.08Jun 2, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.04Jun 2, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$61.18Jun 1, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $110 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $120 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 in May?$1.01Jun 1, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.01Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $10.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.