Doting-Ink
0x4765a59af4925995074ef85013c0fd365de12f7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$58.80
Total PnL
$0.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$9.13
$0.01
- NO
Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
9 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$9.12
$0.11
- NO
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$8.16
$0.01
- NO
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
8 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$7.52
$0.10
- NO
Will another team win the Bundesliga?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$6.52
$0.01
- NO
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$5.27
$0.02
- NO
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?
4 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$4.50
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?
4 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$4.42
$0.03
- NO
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$4.17
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$3.36Apr 1, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$9.01Mar 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.17Mar 24, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$5.25Mar 23, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City wins the Premier League?$8.15Mar 23, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win the Bundesliga?$6.51Mar 20, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMBrentford wins the Premier League?$2.69Mar 16, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille win the UEFA Champions League?$3.58Mar 16, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympiacos win the UEFA Europa League?$10.01Mar 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympiacos win the UEFA Europa League?$9.97Mar 11, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille win the UEFA Champions League?$3.54Mar 3, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$3.34Mar 1, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Porto win the UEFA Europa League?$7.08Feb 21, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$8.26Feb 21, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$4.39Feb 19, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Porto win the UEFA Europa League?$4.78Feb 14, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$8.14Feb 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Porto win the UEFA Europa League?$2.16Feb 6, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.47Feb 2, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dalton Schultz score a touchdown?$0.00Jan 28, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.