Jolly-Goodness
0x4766e213423689ab0ced5efe58b7e5173dd77e2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.66
Total PnL
$-10.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$0.02
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$0.01
- YES
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
703 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?
80 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$74.27May 31, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$74.20May 28, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$74.37May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?$74.30May 23, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$74.27May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$74.20May 15, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$74.17May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$74.10May 13, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?$74.17May 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?$74.11May 11, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$74.07May 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$74.00May 6, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$74.04May 6, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$73.97Apr 28, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?$73.97Apr 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?$73.90Apr 24, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.48Apr 24, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 20?$75.38Apr 24, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 20?$75.31Apr 19, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 13?$75.31Apr 19, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $66.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.