Brilliant-Haven
0x476aac412945a34be4befc28d1a77b518fee4289
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-247.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 12?
220 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?
216 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?
191 shares @ 98.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-188.43
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 30?
185 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 28?
172 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 23?
143 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 28?
142 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 28?
142 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?
101 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 28?
98 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 10?$221.67Jul 10, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 10?$220.34Jul 10, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$207.37Jun 1, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?$1.61Jun 1, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$203.43May 31, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$226.52May 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$219.04May 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$0.24May 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$188.19May 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?$3.65May 9, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 on March 31?$180.00Apr 25, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 19?$2.35Apr 18, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?$227.50Apr 18, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?$225.68Apr 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 12?$2.37Apr 11, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 28?$0.00Apr 11, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 on March 31?$178.38Apr 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?$0.00Mar 31, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 21?$0.00Mar 30, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 28?$1.38Mar 28, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $74.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.