Salty-Whole
0x47701b1c0a2a8bd42b283d5d4d5776360d5d3bde
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$52.02
Total PnL
$-42.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?
36 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$36.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$9.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 7?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$6.99
$0.01
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
45 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 7?$6.98May 8, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?$8.99May 8, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?$36.00May 8, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 20?$2.02May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 13-19?$2.25May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?$2.26May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 20?$3.25May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 20?$4.59May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 20?$4.87May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on April 19?$5.55May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on April 19?$6.67May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 20?$6.81May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19?$6.89May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on April 20?$8.01May 6, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?$8.70May 6, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 20?$4.59Apr 20, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on April 20?$8.00Apr 20, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on April 19?$5.55Apr 20, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on April 19?$6.66Apr 20, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 20?$4.87Apr 20, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $6.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 02:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.