Loose-Lilac
0x47788d2c49e79f2fd076ac2ebf81df0da2499b19
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.1K
Realised
$-394.60
Win rate
33%
86 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
1349 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-523.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
566 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-355.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
546 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-168.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
403 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-167.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
398 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-138.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
386 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-203.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
345 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-172.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
341 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-89.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
315 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-141.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
297 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-79.12
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$23.61Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$20.00Jul 20, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$35.00Jul 20, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$7.73Jul 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.58Jul 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$6.82Jul 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$6.82Jul 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.58Jul 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$4.40Jul 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$3.60Jul 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$3.12Jul 20, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$2.61Jul 20, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$4.68Jul 20, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$42.00Jul 20, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$3.60Jul 20, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.86Jul 20, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.60Jul 20, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.66Jul 20, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$7.81Jul 20, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$6.39Jul 20, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 86 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
86 closed markets, 33% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 86 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.