Ultimate-Deficit
0x477b051a8bf0cffb9bf1adc45ce5efce0f337b63
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-207.26
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- FAZE
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
1200 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-71.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $86,000 on November 24?
510 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-204.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
400 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)
400 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
400 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
300 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-84.51
- ASTRALIS
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
250 shares @ 81.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-203.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
209 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-104.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5$10.00Jun 13, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$20.00Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5$20.00Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5$100.00Jun 12, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5$91.25Jun 12, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$4.93Jun 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$5.13Jun 12, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$49.27Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$47.03Jun 12, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5$16.10Jun 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$5.72Jun 12, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$49.27Jun 12, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5$2.76Jun 12, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$30.00Jun 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$15.51Jun 11, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5$37.70Jun 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$5.87Jun 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$2.15Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?$49.99May 12, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?$15.60May 7, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $19.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.