Light-Start
0x477ba1499d039f112a1fcffc3f9985b8e81c27de
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$49.12
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- NO
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
474 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.19
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?
371 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.01
- NO
Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
335 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?
300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
241 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.90
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
229 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
220 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.74
- DU PLESSIS
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
197 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Israel military action against Iran in July?
130 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?$0.11Jan 8, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$15.19Aug 14, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$3.38Aug 14, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta releases Llama 5 in 2025?$4.94Aug 14, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$65.00Aug 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released in 2025?$32.94Aug 14, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$45.00Aug 14, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yunakivka before August?$31.25Aug 14, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$46.09Aug 14, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$10.00Jul 23, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?$8.00Jul 23, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$10.00Jul 22, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier$18.18Jul 22, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$7.00Jul 19, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$3.67Jul 19, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Downgrade" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?$2.00Jul 19, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$10.00Jul 19, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier$10.00Jul 18, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov$10.00Jul 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov$20.00Jul 17, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $12.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".