Gullible-Windscreen
0x4786d1dd8308be218694ea1f4e071b52a75d6e4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.58
Total PnL
$-178.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 6?
123 shares @ 12.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$5.58
$-9.62
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?
193 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-94.52
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-11-01?
33 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
26 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
25 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?
23 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-14.16
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?
18 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?
15 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.49
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 6?$15.87Jun 5, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$95.97May 9, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$4.70Apr 8, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$4.91Apr 8, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$3.75Apr 8, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.95Apr 8, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$3.68Nov 10, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?$3.67Nov 10, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2025-11-04?$5.49Nov 4, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$5.48Nov 4, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?$14.16Nov 2, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?$3.06Nov 2, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-01?$11.11Nov 2, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$4.49Nov 1, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Telstar 1963 win on 2025-11-01?$15.00Nov 1, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?$19.49Nov 1, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?$5.50Nov 1, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?$8.00Nov 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton win on 2025-11-01?$10.19Nov 1, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?$8.00Nov 1, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 10:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".