International-Settlement
0x4788121957918cdac327b304d3d65e7ee2af0414
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-66.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?
191 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 29?
95 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 21?
79 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 14?
77 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 20?
70 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on March 28?
68 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21?
67 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 11?
66 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18?
55 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 12?
51 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 May 25-31?$1.27May 31, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26?$193.56May 29, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26?$0.23May 26, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26?$191.59May 25, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$99.97May 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18?$3.59May 17, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$1.71May 17, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$145.93May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$144.47May 13, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?$2.65May 7, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 15?$51.26May 7, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 Week of April 13 2026?$120.95Apr 30, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 20?$2.48Apr 19, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of April 13 2026?$1.39Apr 17, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 Week of April 13 2026?$118.41Apr 16, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?$124.73Apr 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 15?$49.67Apr 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?$52.10Apr 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?$71.00Apr 13, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 27?$0.00Apr 10, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $35.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 10:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.