Political-Cobbler
0x478a6c5d94883ed8f3b07c09730b7a55e3f12dea
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$230.00
Total PnL
$-36.4K
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
8%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5
230 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$230.00
$112.70
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?
3424 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- THUNDER
Hornets vs. Thunder
3361 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- CELTICS
Nets vs. Celtics
3168 shares @ 73.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- NUGGETS
Bulls vs. Nuggets
2732 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?
2619 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-872.46
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?
2383 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- BUCKS
Kings vs. Bucks
2100 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-955.00
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?
1484 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UNDER
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5
1418 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-752.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$5.00May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$3.15May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$5.00May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$9.99May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$9.99May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$9.99May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$5.00May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$5.00May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$5.00May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$5.00May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$9.99May 31, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$5.00May 31, 02:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.58May 31, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$35.84May 30, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYShai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5$5.28May 30, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDe'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5$157.64May 30, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYVictor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5$119.02May 30, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$199.79May 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$140.30May 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$7.70May 30, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $50.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".