Modest-Year
0x478a76e9599a56a913e376d693cf230e0342fec7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-471.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1540 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-154.37
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- MAVERICKS
Clippers vs. Mavericks
288 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-86.47
- YES
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
200 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Warriors
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 18?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on March 6?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 19?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- HEAT
Heat vs. Hornets
100 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C or below on March 22?
100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Mavericks$86.47Mar 21, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.10Mar 19, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.09Mar 19, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.05Mar 19, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.10Mar 19, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.06Mar 19, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C or below on March 22?$1.60Mar 19, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$4.90Mar 19, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.00Mar 19, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.03Mar 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 19?$1.19Mar 18, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.05Mar 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.03Mar 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 20?$0.57Mar 18, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 20?$0.31Mar 18, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 19?$0.01Mar 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 19?$0.07Mar 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 19?$0.07Mar 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hornets$34.00Mar 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 18?$0.08Mar 17, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.