Mad-Raffle
0x478f607e14f179b5cf0e0cebd8f3687d2d881c70
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.62
Total PnL
$-45.35
Realised
$5.03
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.07Jun 3, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.06Jun 3, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.41Jun 3, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.01Jun 3, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.07Jun 3, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.06Jun 3, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.14Jun 3, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.06Jun 3, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.47Jun 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.52Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.39Jun 3, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.68Jun 3, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.05Jun 2, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.06Jun 2, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$0.11Jun 2, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.