All-Scenario
0x4793b1d97c942bc7682ff8234230eb4c0a5ec97e
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Martin Lidegaard be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.19Mar 31, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.20Mar 29, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Mar 29, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Mar 29, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$3.00Mar 29, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Martin Lidegaard be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 29, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 29, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 29, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 29, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.