Untrue-Catalyst
0x4796400f38f6939371893c02176082f131faaf7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$68.00
Total PnL
$-16.9K
Realised
$846.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
50 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.00
$0.10
- YES
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
18 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.00
$0.29
- GIANTS
Giants vs. Marlins
31142 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2025$0.00
$-17.8K
- NO
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?
3 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?
1 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$49.90Mar 13, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$17.71Mar 13, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$4.02Mar 13, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.33Mar 13, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$8.21Mar 13, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$22.00Mar 13, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $400 before 2026?$46.84Mar 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$21.98Dec 7, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $400 before 2026?$46.70Dec 7, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Todd Perkins win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?$3.60Dec 7, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$61.07Dec 7, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$60.70Nov 3, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?$1.30Nov 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$2.73Nov 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $2.60 on September 22?$3.61Nov 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Phoenix Mercury win the 2025 WNBA Championship?$3.81Nov 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gnangbo Kacou win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$3.82Nov 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$3.85Nov 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joyce Banda win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$5.52Nov 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6500 in August?$5.71Nov 3, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 23:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".