Sharp-Paddle
0x4799c0bc483b3408cdac91c4497adb670f0fe2b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$15.81
Total PnL
$-49.20
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 16?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$7.23
$0.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$5.22
$0.02
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.38
$0.08
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 31?
6351 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.35
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on June 2?
2118 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 8?
1109 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 10?
1086 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 7?
1085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 27?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 16?$7.20Jul 15, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.20Jul 2, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$5.92Jul 2, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$5.92Jun 26, 07:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Jun 6, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.38Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on June 2?$4.24Jun 3, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $65 on May 24?$2.16May 25, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?$2.12May 17, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?$2.13May 10, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 7?$2.17May 7, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?$2.13May 4, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 30?$2.13Apr 30, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$1.1KApr 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$1.1KApr 26, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 23?$1.1KApr 26, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 23?$1.1KApr 23, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 22?$1.1KApr 23, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 22?$1.1KApr 22, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 on April 21?$1.1KApr 22, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $323.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.