Considerate-Osmosis
0x479ad02df851e0c14beb753e888daf0647844080
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-132.39
Realised
$8.55
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C or higher on January 20?
205 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
144 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-36.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
126 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.60Feb 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$49.99Feb 7, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$9.70Feb 7, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$9.80Feb 7, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$9.90Feb 7, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$9.00Feb 7, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$9.50Feb 7, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Feb 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$39.98Feb 7, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Feb 7, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$49.97Feb 7, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$9.70Feb 7, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$9.70Feb 7, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$9.30Feb 7, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$9.40Feb 7, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Feb 7, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$9.40Feb 7, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$9.50Feb 7, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$9.30Feb 7, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$9.30Feb 7, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $9.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".