Sparkling-Nourishment
0x47a0f207ac348dfd0a9ba7e097c274f5fad466d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$2.85
Total PnL
$-19.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 91.7¢·now 77.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.84
$-0.16
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1756 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-878.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.05Jan 26, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.02Jan 15, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMAI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.03Jan 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.05Jan 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.10Jan 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$2.02Jan 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.04Dec 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.0KDec 11, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$500.00Dec 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.03Dec 11, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$500.00Dec 11, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $160.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.