Flawless-Effacement
0x47a5f9a0370771c168b231093e3e5c38740945bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
17 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4PM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,600 and $4,700 on October 9?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 3PM ET
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.98May 26, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$10.00May 26, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$20.00Jan 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.00Jan 4, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$3.00Jan 4, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,600 and $4,700 on October 9?$2.00Oct 8, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 8, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$3.00Oct 7, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?$0.54Sep 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 25, 3PM ET$1.00Sep 25, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$10.00Sep 23, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.00Sep 20, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?$1.00Sep 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4PM ET$1.00Sep 20, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.