Aching-Max
0x47a62e61ce82f2afaf02ce790df1cd3ce9ec65e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
196
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-54.61
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 196- YES
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?
4222 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-322.28
- NO
Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?
635 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-39.20
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?
450 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-211.50
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-98.00
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- UP
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 24?
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- NO
Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?
70 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-24.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
54 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-37.23
- YES
Will Catherine Connolly win by 10–15%?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$15.00Jun 30, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.60Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.65Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.65Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.45Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.45Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.50Jun 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.65Jun 30, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.65Jun 30, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.51Jun 30, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.08Jun 30, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $11.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.