Cumbersome-Mandarin
0x47a813a2d96720092a01a5eb7e68e057447feeae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.46
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
331 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-4.46
- YES
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Bank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?
112 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will Speed/Kai give up on challenge before Saturday?
110 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$1.00Aug 26, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.23Aug 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMeissner effect confirmed near room temperature?$0.42Aug 26, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 August hottest on record?$0.81Aug 26, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$1.47Aug 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMonkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$0.40Aug 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBird flu pandemic in 2024?$0.40Aug 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$0.35Aug 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMonkeypox pandemic in 2024?$0.32Aug 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.33Aug 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill two SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?$0.33Aug 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.43Aug 26, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLCOVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$0.44Aug 26, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?$0.20Aug 25, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?$0.10Aug 25, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admit 'Operation Warp Speed' was his fault?$0.14Aug 25, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump admit 'Operation Warp Speed' was his fault?$0.44Aug 24, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?$1.00Aug 24, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$1.00Aug 24, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?$1.00Aug 24, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 26, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".