Colorless-Hatchling
0x47a81aad39ce80501aa5ef6f1bcf008e3ba5a36f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-658.05
Realised
$-15.54
Win rate
0%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
446 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2025$0.00
$-209.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
227 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-144.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
167 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-38.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
95 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
70 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
62 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
45 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.23Jul 30, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$2.77Jul 30, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.77Jul 30, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$3.51Jul 30, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.25Jul 30, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2.82Jul 30, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$3.99Jul 30, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.98Jul 30, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$3.09Jul 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.81Jul 30, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$2.77Jul 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$3.12Jul 30, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.25Jul 30, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$2.87Jul 30, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$4.71Jul 30, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$2.81Jul 30, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$2.97Jul 30, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$8.63Jul 30, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$4.38Jul 30, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.89Jul 30, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
30 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.