Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

125

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-3.6M

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 125

CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
350000 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026
$0.00
$-104.5K
G2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
199999 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026
$0.00
$-50.0K
NRG
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
191707 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026
$0.00
$-58.8K
STARS
Stars vs. Wild
152500 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026
$0.00
$-70.1K
FLYERS
Penguins vs. Flyers
152000 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026
$0.00
$-81.7K
FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
151817 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026
$0.00
$-72.9K
FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
144313 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-37.7K
VITALITY
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
142998 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026
$0.00
$-100.1K
KINGS
Kings vs. Avalanche
135501 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-40.3K
PAIN
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A
134000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026
$0.00
$-40.2K

Recent activity

TAKER_REBATE$304.50Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
REWARD$6.61Jun 23, 22:24 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$85.42Jun 23, 14:55 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$45.88Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$10.23Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$47.75Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$8.78Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$3.03Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$33.38Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$51.09Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$18.60Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$3.54Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$9.78Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$5.85Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
TAKER_REBATE$14.05Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$21.1KJun 22, 16:33 UTC
TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$23.9KJun 22, 16:28 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$220.39Jun 22, 00:45 UTC
REWARD$6.61Jun 22, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$27.0KJun 21, 15:01 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100

read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal

review

33 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.

Resolved-only track record

block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

100%

Sample

low

2 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

$26.8K · 67% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 167% of recorded volume$26.8K Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A33% of recorded volume$13.5K

Profile dimensions

Activity38 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry79 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk68 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 33
Avg trade size: $2.8K
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 21, 15:00 UTC
Last active: Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:53:07 UTC·src:Polymarket Data