Capital-Brake
0x47ab3a72ceb99f4d6da0e8df652d7e78531bb9a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$129.56
Total PnL
$-130.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?
130 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$129.56
$0.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
287 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-120.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$129.03Jun 28, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$22.38Jun 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.39Jun 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$17.65Jun 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$4.23Jun 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.35Jun 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$8.36Jun 28, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.41Jun 28, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.02Jun 28, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.21Jun 28, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$126.00Apr 16, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of March?$185.25Apr 15, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of March?$185.06Mar 31, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?$0.00Mar 31, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $39.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.