Late-Comestible-Diaphragm
0x47ab4499c6f2177320d6427ebd9c29d7853cde79
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.66
Realised
$-1.66
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
55 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
17 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.92Aug 17, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.03Aug 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$133.72Aug 17, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$83.24Aug 17, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$27.95Aug 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$9.30Aug 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$3.09Aug 17, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.03Aug 17, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.89Aug 17, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.03Aug 17, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$5.20Aug 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$3.09Aug 17, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.03Aug 17, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$4.38Aug 17, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.92Aug 17, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.03Aug 17, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.04Aug 17, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.04Aug 17, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.56Aug 17, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.03Aug 17, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.