Electric-Drink
0x47ac1a893cd7b0ddd1e5c9f2e8a846489fd67284
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$53.59
Total PnL
$-357.40
Realised
$-11.78
Win rate
0%
129 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?
53 shares @ 13.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$21.86
$14.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?
52 shares @ 11.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$14.39
$8.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 13?
52 shares @ 23.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$10.70
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 13?
53 shares @ 4.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$3.67
$1.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 14?
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 13?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 14?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?
492 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?
365 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.22
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?
320 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 13?$1.05Aug 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?$21.10Aug 12, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 14?$1.05Aug 12, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 14?$1.04Aug 12, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?$1.04Aug 12, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 13?$4.18Aug 12, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?$2.07Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 12?$1.05Aug 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 12?$2.08Aug 11, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?$3.10Aug 11, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 12?$1.04Aug 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 12?$1.05Aug 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 12?$1.04Aug 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 13?$2.20Aug 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 13?$12.98Aug 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?$7.41Aug 11, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?$6.47Aug 11, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 11?$4.51Aug 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 11?$4.50Aug 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 10?$8.01Aug 10, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 129 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
129 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 22:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 129 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.