Shady-Mozzarella
0x47ad6ed884da882d0d1dd0aef9015037d3a4b5cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-737.88
Realised
$-20.25
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
397 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
163 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
154 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 24?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-91.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
78 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
75 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 25?
50 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 25?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 9?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- REWARD$26.68Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Jun 26, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$17.22Jun 26, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.00Jun 26, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$16.98Jun 26, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$9.30Jun 26, 01:34 UTC
- REWARD$8.76Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Jun 25, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jun 25, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$303.14Jun 25, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$303.43Jun 25, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$168.11Jun 25, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$82.86Jun 25, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$41.37Jun 25, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$78.43Jun 25, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$20.70Jun 25, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$41.37Jun 25, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$35.86Jun 25, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$20.69Jun 25, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$20.62Jun 25, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $59.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.