Messy-Pocketwatch
0x47b18d9490b225a0298f6b7bdd81c67b92281d97
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$23.57
Total PnL
$-50.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Ethereum all time high before 2026?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.00
$12.00
- YES
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.25
$5.25
- YES
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
302 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?
268 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Primoz Roglic win the Tour de France 2025?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
41 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before July?$0.00Jul 26, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$0.00Jul 26, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$0.00Jul 26, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Black Woman statue be removed from Times Square early?$0.00Jul 26, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?$4.00Jun 11, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?$2.00Jun 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?$3.00Jun 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$1.00Jun 10, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$2.00Jun 10, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?$5.00Jun 10, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 4 AM ET$2.00Jun 10, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by June 30?$4.00Jun 10, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Elon talk by Monday?$0.00Jun 10, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on June 7?$0.00Jun 10, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMItalian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum$0.00Jun 10, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,700 on June 10?$12.31Jun 10, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 10, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?$1.00Jun 9, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy before October?$1.00Jun 9, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Jun 9, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.