Awkward-Armadillo
0x47b5d2d7eff10aecabc749ed41ccff97e9c9a045
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
7971233 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
1980138 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-63.5K
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1743035 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.7K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
900000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
900000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
408571 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
400000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
143039 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
23689 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-299.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 26?
12805 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-382.87
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.97May 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$197.67May 13, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$883.61May 13, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$9.27May 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$967.90May 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$241.38May 11, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$839.92Apr 29, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$944.96Apr 29, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$944.96Apr 29, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$6.97Apr 10, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$9.84Apr 10, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$296.97Apr 10, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$51.80Apr 7, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$25.59Apr 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.18Apr 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$84.96Apr 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$7.17Apr 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$3.10Apr 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.88Apr 7, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.24Apr 7, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $129.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 19:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.