Whirlwind-Doubt
0x47c052595cb651bcf5470f2691c1a8e7ec727982
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-240.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- MOUTINHO
UFC Fight Night: Kris Moutinho vs. Cristian Quiñonez (Bantamweight, Prelims)
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on February 28?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Clemson win the 2025-2026 ACC Men’s Basketball regular season championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$68.65Jun 14, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$68.59Jun 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$11.95Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$11.75Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$8.08Jun 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$8.32Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$104.03Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.03Jun 13, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.03Jun 13, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMHSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic$100.00Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic$10.23Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic$4.70Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic$79.22Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa$99.90Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa$94.17Jun 13, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$93.97Jun 13, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$85.28Jun 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$80.44Jun 13, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$5.24Jun 13, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$79.05Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $46.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.