Sniveling-Sheet
0x47caa50072cf45f3e0451255e86ee8f9af41ff29
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$26.35
Total PnL
$-736.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
310 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.35
$-35.64
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
6600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1AM ET
414 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-210.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
213 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-106.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 4AM ET
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.09
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
166 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-83.17
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 25, 5AM ET
153 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-78.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2AM ET
127 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-64.90
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
99 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-51.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.52Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$720.14Jul 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$81.98Jul 17, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$139.37Jul 17, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$138.72Jul 17, 09:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $89.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.