Lost-Original
0x47ccba2168b6ee5d6263a403a610ad27c4925668
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-788.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
3571 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1600 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
1432 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?
729 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- PAUL
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?
618 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.90
- YES
Japanese Snap Election Called by December 31, 2025?
562 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?
511 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-36.01
- YES
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?
352 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-174.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$55.30Apr 2, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?$0.00Mar 24, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 24?$15.00Mar 23, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 24?$20.00Mar 23, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 24?$20.00Mar 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 24?$20.00Mar 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 24?$20.00Mar 23, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.00Mar 23, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$0.00Mar 23, 19:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 1, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$94.59Feb 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Feb 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$50.00Feb 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$18.87Feb 28, 13:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 27, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 26, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 25, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $29.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.