Smart-Pseudoscience
0x47cd1da1194e2055ea62d49d563ab63cccd315cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$25.61
Total PnL
$-29.47
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?
19 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$19.45
$0.05
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.19
$0.04
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 1?
5296 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.59
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 18?
2151 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?
2093 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?
2088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 28?
2084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 29?
1077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$19.40Jun 13, 04:18 UTC
- REWARD$0.63Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.21Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$20.40Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$20.33May 30, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$20.06May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$20.00May 21, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.02May 21, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$17.25May 21, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$17.20May 7, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?$4.18Apr 30, 23:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Apr 29, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 28?$4.17Apr 29, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$4.19Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 22?$2.1KApr 23, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 22?$2.1KApr 23, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 22?$2.1KApr 23, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 22?$2.1KApr 22, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 21?$2.1KApr 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 21?$2.1KApr 22, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $525.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.