Chubby-Constant
0x47cdb2ac4a15b5895b5d3655c624d68ee579bbc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-228.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
361 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (September 15-21)
305 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-61.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?
118 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
101 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?
100 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?
79 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$277.88Dec 19, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$200.00Dec 17, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$80.00Dec 16, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$182.00Dec 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$55.44Dec 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$199.90Dec 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$183.61Dec 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$277.37Dec 15, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$210.00Dec 15, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$749.53Dec 10, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$500.49Dec 10, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$500.50Dec 10, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$58.44Dec 10, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$628.00Dec 10, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$486.00Dec 10, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$99.69Dec 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$500.00Dec 9, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$95.00Dec 9, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$95.00Dec 9, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$82.65Dec 9, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $226.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".