0x47d3a4b7a8bf14d76aa66f0498a98d6c434f3a65
0x47d3a4b7a8bf14d76aa66f0498a98d6c434f3a65
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?
1000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-310.00
- YES
Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?
815 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-423.80
- YES
Will Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?
490 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-323.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Child" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?
105 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-79.80
- NO
Will Trump say "El Salvador" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?
80 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-33.60
- YES
Will Jimmy Patronis win by 30-35%?
25 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Bukele visit on April 14?
5 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$1.65May 14, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?$79.20May 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?$224.40May 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?$19.80May 7, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 6?$325.00May 7, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 6?$162.50May 5, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?$195.00May 5, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?$228.80May 5, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Saylor say "Inflation" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?$585.00May 5, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Saylor say "Inflation" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?$234.00Apr 30, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Child" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?$79.80Apr 30, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$315.00Apr 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$70.00Apr 28, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$106.40Apr 28, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "El Salvador" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$33.60Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?$6.20Apr 28, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?$303.80Apr 28, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$10.00Apr 28, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMCopa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona$505.00Apr 28, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 26?$5.00Apr 28, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $93.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.